Chance of showers/thunderstorms Sunday evening and overnight; Windy and cooler Monday

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Sunday’s high temperature in Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport was 78 degrees. That was just four degrees cooler than our Twin Cities record of Oct. 23. It was also twenty-four degrees warmer than our average high (54) for that date. Many places in central and southern Minnesota hit the upper 70s, and a few places topped the 80s.

Strong winds continue

A strong low pressure system centered in eastern South Dakota brought wind gusts of more than 30 to 40 mph across much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin on Sunday afternoon. The low is moving very slowly to the north-northeast, so strong winds will stay with us through Sunday evening.

Wind gusts to around 45 mph are possible in some areas Sunday evening and overnight. A wind advisory is circulating from 7 p.m. this Sunday evening to 3 a.m. Monday from metro South Scott and Dakota counties to south-central and southeast Minnesota:

Wind advisory (shaded beige) from 7 p.m. Sun to 3 a.m. Monday

National Weather Service

Even stronger gusts can be expected near any developing thunderstorm.

Thunderstorm Probability and Severe Weather Outlook

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Areas of showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop Sunday evening and into Sunday night in Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Not everyone will see rain.

A few strong or violent thunderstorms are possible from Sunday evening to Sunday evening and early Monday. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center shows a slight risk of severe weather (shaded yellow) in southwestern Minnesota during this period, with marginal risk (darker green) over much of Minnesota and parts from western Wisconsin:

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Severe weather outlook for Sunday evening through Monday morning

NWS Storm Prediction Center/NWS Twin Cities

Low risk means scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible in the Marginal Hazard Zone, which includes the Twin Cities. Severe weather hazard details on the severe weather graph are from the Twin Cities National Weather Service office.

The Storm Prediction Center updates its severe weather forecast several times a day and night.

We’ve updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on Minnesota Public Radio News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog. You can view MPR News’ interactive radar display here.

A few scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorm will be possible on Monday.

Temperature trends

Monday’s highs will range from the 50s in western Minnesota to under 70s in western Wisconsin:

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Monday forecast highs

National Weather Service

These temperatures in eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin are early morning highs; falling temperatures are expected in these regions as we move through Monday afternoon.

Wind gusts in the range of 25 to 35 mph are expected in most areas Monday afternoon:

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Monday 1 p.m. expect gusty winds

National Weather Service

Forecast gusts are in knots, with 26 knots equating to around 30 mph.

Temperature trends

The Twin Cities metropolitan area highs are expected to reach the lower 50s on Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by the mid-50s on Thursday and Friday. A quick look at next weekend shows highs in the metro area in the upper 50s. This is a little above our average high of the lower 50s at the end of October.

Above normal temperatures may then persist until early the following week. The NWS Climate Prediction Center shows above normal temperatures in Minnesota and Wisconsin from October 29 to November 2:

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Temperature outlook for October 29 to November 2

NWS Climate Prediction Center

We’ll see if it works.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35am, 9:35am and 4:39pm Saturday and Sunday.

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